Q2’2023 Unit Trust Funds Performance

Oct 1, 2023

Unit Trust Funds (UTFs) are Collective Investment Schemes that pool funds from multiple investors and are managed by professional fund managers. The fund managers invest the pooled funds in a diversified portfolio of securities such as equities, bonds or any authorized financial securities, with the aim of generating returns to meet the specific objectives of the fund. Following the release of the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) Quarterly CIS Report - Q2’2023, we analyze the performance of Unit Trust Funds for the period ending 30th June 2023, whose total Assets Under Management (AUM) have been steadily increasing, and are among the most popular investment options in the Kenyan market. We will further analyze the performance of Money Market Funds, a product under Unit Trust Funds.

In our previous focus on Unit Trust Funds, we looked at the Unit Trust Funds Performance - Q1'2023 by Fund Managers, where we highlighted that their AUM stood at Kshs 164.3 bn, a 2.0% increase from Kshs 161.0 bn recorded in FY’2022. In this topical, we delve on the Q2’2023 performance of Unit Trust Funds where we shall analyze the following:

  1. Performance of the Unit Trust Funds Industry,
  2. Performance of Money Market Funds,
  3. Comparing Unit Trust Funds AUM Growth with other Markets, and,
  4. Recommendations.

Section I: Performance of the Unit Trust Funds Industry

Unit Trust Funds are Investment schemes that pool funds from investors and are managed by professional Fund Managers. The fund manager invests the pooled funds with the aim of generating returns in line with the specific objectives of the fund. The Unit Trust Funds earn returns in the form of dividends, interest income, rent and/or capital gains depending on the underlying security. The main types of Unit Trust Funds include:

  1. Money Market Funds – These are a type of mutual fund that invests in short-term, low-risk debt instruments, such as such as fixed deposits, treasury bills and bonds, commercial papers, etc. They are very liquid, have stable returns, and, they are suitable for risk averse investors,
  2. Equity Funds – These are funds which largely invest in listed securities and seek to offer superior returns over the medium to long-term by maximizing capital gains and dividend income. The funds invest in various sectors to reduce concentration risk and maintain some portion of the fund’s cash in liquid fixed income investments to maintain liquidity and pay investors if need be without losing value,
  3. Balanced Funds – These are funds whose investments are diversified across the Equities and the Fixed Income market. Balanced Funds offer investors long-term growth as well as reasonable levels of stability of income,
  4. Fixed Income Funds – These are funds which invest in interest-bearing securities, which include treasury bills, treasury bonds, preference shares, corporate bonds, loan stock, approved securities, notes and liquid assets consistent with the portfolio’s investment objective, and,
  5. Sector Specific Funds – These are funds that invest primarily in a particular sector or industry. The funds provide a greater measure of diversification within a given sector than may be otherwise possible for the other funds. They are specifically approved by the Capital Markets Authority as they are not invested as per the set rules and regulations.

As per the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) Quarterly CIS Report - Q2’2023, the industry’s overall Assets under Management (AUM) registered a significant growth of 7.1% on a quarter on quarter basis to Kshs 176.0 bn as at the end of Q2’2023, from Kshs 164.3 bn recorded in Q1’2023. On a y/y basis, the total AUM increased by 20.7% to Kshs 176.0 bn, from Kshs 145.8 bn as at the end of Q2’2022. Key to note, Assets under Management of the Unit Trust Funds have registered an upward trajectory over the last five years, growing at a 5-year CAGR of 27.0% to Kshs 176.0 bn in Q2’2023, from Kshs 53.3 bn recorded in Q2’2018. The chart below shows the growth in Unit Trust Funds’ AUM:

Source: Capital Markets Authority Quarterly CIS Report

The growth is largely attributed to:

  • Low Investments minimums: Majority of the Unit Trust Funds Collective Investment Schemes’ (CIS) in the market require a relatively low initial investment ranging between Kshs 100.0 - Kshs 10,000.0, thereby promoting financial inclusion by allowing even small-scale investors to access professionally managed investments opportunities
  • Increased Investor Knowledge: There has been a drive towards investor education mainly by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) and the fund managers on the various products offered by trust funds, which has meant that more people are aware and have a deeper understanding of the investment subject. As a result, their confidence has been boosted leading to increased uptake,
  • Diversified product offering: Unit Trust Funds are also advantageous in terms of providing investors with access to a wider range of investment securities through pooling of funds. This allows investors the opportunity of diversifying their portfolios which would have not been accessible if they invested on their own. Additionally, they also ensure investors are able to shield themselves against the risks associated with market volatility associated with some asset classes,
  • Adoption of Fintech: Digitization and automation within the industry has enhanced ease in cash accessibility, enabling investors to immediately access their investments via mobile payment platforms. According to the Central Bank of Kenya, more individuals are transacting through mobile money services as evidenced by the increase in the total number of registered mobile money accounts to 77.2 mn in July 2023, up from 42.6 mn recorded in July 2018, translating to a 5-year CAGR of 12.6%. The graph below shows the growth in the number of money market accounts in the period Q2’2018 to Q2’2023;

Source: Central Bank of Kenya

Additionally, investors can easily track their investments based on principal invested as well as interest earned during various periods and the charges incurred via mobile apps, and,

  • Competitive returns: Positive performance and competitive returns have been instrumental in attracting investors to unit trust funds. As these funds consistently outperform certain traditional investment options, more investors are drawn to their potential for generating wealth over the long term.

Further, the overall UTFs portfolio is heavily invested in fixed deposits, registering a 20.5% increase to Kshs 78.1 bn, from Kshs 64.8 bn in Q1’2023. As such, the allocation to fixed deposits increased by 4.9% points to 44.4% of the total assets, from the 39.5% recorded in Q1’2023. This was followed by Government securities, at 42.8% allocation from 46.2% in Q1’2023. The graph below represents asset allocations in different asset classes comparing Q1’2023 to Q2’2023 in the UTF industry;

Comparably, the Pensions industry has continued to offer long-term wealth accumulation options for investors in the country, with the total AUM registering a 1.9% growth in FY’2022, to hit Kshs 1.6 tn, from Kshs 1.5 tn in FY’2021. The Pensions Industry has continued to invest heavily in government securities, accounting for 45.8% of the total AUM in FY’2022, from 45.7% in FY’2021. This was followed by guaranteed funds and immovable assets, accounting for 18.9% and 15.8%, respectively. The chart below represents asset allocations in different asset classes comparing FY’2021 to FY’2022 in the Pensions Industry:

Notably, the Fixed deposits in the Pensions Industry only accounted for 2.7% of the total AUM, compared to 44.4% recorded in the UTF industry. This is partly attributable to the more long-term nature of the industry compared to UTF industry, with investors investing their money for decades. As such, fund managers prefer the long-term government securities offering higher yields compared to the fixed deposits, while still maintaining stability and returns predictability through guaranteed funds.

According to the Capital Markets Authority, as at the end of Q2’2023, there were 36 Collective Investment Schemes (CISs) in Kenya, up from 34 recorded at the end of FY’2022 and 31 recorded at the end of Q2’2022. Out of the 36 schemes, 27 of them (equivalent to 75.0%) were active while 9 (25.0%) were inactive. The table below outlines the performance of the Collective Investment Schemes comparing Q1’2023 and Q2’2023:

 

Cytonn Report: Assets Under Management (AUM) for the Approved Collective Investment Schemes

No.

Collective Investment Schemes

Q1’2023 AUM

Q1’2023

Q2'2023 AUM

Q2’2023

AUM Growth

(Kshs mn)

Market Share

(Kshs mn)

Market Share

Q1’2023 –Q2'2023

1

CIC Unit Trust Scheme

56,970.2

34.7%

59,588.7

33.9%

4.6%

2

NCBA Unit Trust Scheme

27,739.7

16.9%

30,662.3

17.4%

10.5%

3

Sanlam Unit Trust Scheme

16,915.2

10.3%

18,177.0

10.3%

7.5%

4

ICEA Unit Trust Scheme

14,558.6

8.9%

15,538.1

8.8%

6.7%

5

British American Unit Trust Scheme

13,201.8

8.0%

13,684.7

7.8%

3.7%

6

Old Mutual Unit Trust Scheme

8,035.6

4.9%

8,595.8

4.9%

7.0%

7

Madison Asset Managers

3,565.4

2.2%

4,645.8

2.6%

30.3%

8

Co-op Unit Trust Scheme

4,011.4

2.4%

4,525.6

2.6%

12.8%

9

Dry Associates Unit Trust Scheme

4,497.9

2.7%

4,478.6

2.5%

(0.4%)

10

Nabo Capital Limited

3,943.2

2.4%

4,028.2

2.3%

2.2%

11

ABSA Unit Trust Scheme

2,869.6

1.7%

3,054.8

1.7%

6.5%

12

Zimele Asset Managers

2,692.9

1.6%

2,835.8

1.6%

5.3%

13

African Alliance Kenya

1,595.8

1.0%

1,295.3

0.7%

(18.8%)

14

Mali Money Market Fund

877.4

0.5%

1,128.0

0.6%

28.6%

15

Apollo Asset Managers

862.0

0.5%

952.6

0.5%

10.5%

16

Cytonn Asset Managers

701.4

0.4%

705.1

0.4%

0.5%

17

Genghis Unit Trust Fund

620.0

0.4%

669.8

0.4%

8.0%

18

Jubilee Unit Trust Scheme

0.0 

0.0%

359.8

0.2%

 

18

KCB Asset Managers

56.3

0.0%

344.5

0.2%

511.6%

20

Orient Collective Investment Scheme

252.2

0.2%

259.8

0.1%

3.0%

21

Equity Investment Bank

185.7

0.1%

174.6

0.1%

(6.0%)

22

Kuza Asset Managers

72.1

0.0%

111.1

0.1%

54.1%

23

GenAfrica Unit Trust Scheme

19.2

0.0%

62.9

0.0%

229.8%

24

Etica Capital Limited

5.3

0.0%

54.2

0.0%

921.1%

25

Amana Capital

26.5

0.0%

26.6

0.0%

0.4%

26

Enwealth Capital Unit Trust

0.0

0.0%

25.5

0.0%

 

27

Wanafunzi Investments

0.72

0.0%

0.7

0.0%

3.1%

28

Genghis Specialized Funds

-

-

-

-

 

29

Standard Investments Bank

-

-

-

-

 

30

Diaspora Unit Trust Scheme

-

-

-

-

 

31

Dyer and Blair Unit Trust Scheme

-

-

-

-

 

32

Jaza Unit Trust Fund

-

-

-

-

 

33

Masaru Unit Trust Fund

-

-

-

-

 

34

Adam Unit Trust Fund

-

-

-

-

 

35

First Ethical Opportunities Fund

 

 

-

-

 

36

Amaka Unit Trust (Umbrella) Scheme

 

 

-

-

 

 

Total

164,276.0

100.0%

175,985.7

100.0%

7.1%

Source: Capital Markets Authority: Quarterly Collective Investment Schemes, Q2’2023

Key take outs from the above table include:

  • Assets Under Management: CIC Unit Trust Scheme remained the largest overall Unit Trust Fund, recording an AUM growth of 4.6%, to Kshs 59.6 bn in Q2’2023, from the AUM of Kshs 57.0 bn recorded in Q1’2023,
  • Growth: In terms of AUM growth, Etica Capital Limited recorded the highest growth of 921.1% with its AUM increasing to Kshs 54.2 mn, from Kshs 5.3 mn in Q1’2023, due to the low base effect. On the other hand, African Alliance Kenya recorded the largest decline with its AUM declining by 18.8% to Kshs 1.3 bn in Q2’2023, from Kshs 1.6 bn in Q1’2023,
  • Market Share: CIC Unit Trust Scheme remained the largest overall Unit Trust with a market share of 33.9%, a 0.8% points decline from 34.7% recorded in Q1’2023. The continued decline in market share is an indication of increasing competition as new collective schemes enter the market,
  • New Collective Investment Schemes: Jubilee Unit Trust Scheme and Enwealth Capital Unit Trust, with AUMs of Kshs 359.8 mn, and Kshs 25.5 mn respectively, became active collective investment schemes in the capital market during Q2’2023, taking the total number of active collective schemes to 27, and,
  • 9 UTFs remained inactive as at the end of Q2’2023: First Ethical Opportunities Fund, Adam Unit Trust Fund, Masaru Unit Trust Fund, Jaza Unit Trust Fund, Dyer and Blair Unit Trust Scheme, Diaspora Unit Trust Scheme, Standard Investments Bank, Genghis Specialized Fund and Amaka Unit Trust remained inactive as at the end of Q2’2023.

Section II: Performance of Money Market Funds

Money Market Funds (MMFs) have continued to gain popularity in Kenya, largely due to the higher returns they offer in comparison to bank deposits. According to the Central Bank of Kenya data, the average deposit rate in June 2023 increased to 7.8% from 7.6% recorded in March 2023, albeit lower than average yields of 91-day T-bill and Money Market Funds at 11.5% and 9.7% respectively. The graph below shows the performance of the Money Market Fund to other short-term financial instruments:

Source: Central Bank of Kenya, Cytonn Research

As per the regulations, funds in MMFs should be invested in short-term liquid interest-bearing securities with a weighted tenor to maturity of 13 months or less.  The short-term securities include treasury bills, call deposits, commercial papers and fixed deposits in commercial banks and deposit taking institutions, among others as specified by CBK. As a result, the Money Market Funds are best suited for investors who require a low-risk investment that offers capital stability, liquidity, but with a high-income yield. The funds are also a good safe haven for investors who wish to switch from a higher risk portfolio to a low risk portfolio, especially during times of uncertainty.

Money Market funds as an asset class are still below the potential, with global average MMF assets at 9.5% to GDP as of FY’2022, which in kenya is 3.6% to GDP as at Q2’2023. More needs to be done to increase the ratio especially at a time when the government is trying to increase savings to GDP ratio. However, the 3.6% Money market AUM to GDP in Kenya is an increase from 1.0% which was recorded in 2021. This can be attributed to the continued higher yields in Money markets compared to other traditional investment options. The chart below shows the performance of the Money Market Funds AUM to GDP comparing Kenya to other economies:

Source: World Bank, CMA, EFAMA

*Kenya Data as of Q2’2023

Top Five Money Market Funds by Yields

During the period under review, the Cytonn Money Market Fund registered the highest effective annual yield at 11.1% against the industry Q2’2023 average of 9.8%. Below is a table of the top five Money Market Funds with the highest average effective annual yield declared in Q2’2023;

Cytonn Report: Top 5 Money Market Fund Yield in Q2’2023

Rank

Money Market Fund

Effective Annual Rate (Average Q2'2023)

1

Cytonn Money Market  Fund

11.1%

2

Etica Money Market Fund

11.0%

3

Madison Money Market Fund

10.5%

4

Apollo Money Market Fund

10.5%

5

Dry Associates Money Market Fund

10.5%

 

Average of Top 5 Money Market Funds

10.7%

 

Industry average

9.8%

Source: Cytonn Research

Section IV: Comparison between Unit Trust Funds AUM Growth and other Markets

Unit Trust Funds’ assets recorded a y/y growth of 20.7% in Q2’2023, slightly higher than 20.1% cumulative deposits growth for the listed banks recorded over the same period. For the Unit Trust Funds, the growth of 20.7% was an increase of 3.9% points, compared to 16.8% y/y growth recorded in Q1’2023. On the other hand, listed banks deposits recorded a growth of 20.1%, a 1.9% points increase from the 18.2% growth recorded in Q1’2023. The chart below highlights the year on year AUM growths for Unit Trust Funds AUM vs Listed banks deposits growth since 2017;

Source: Cytonn Research

We note that there was a 3.9% points q/q increase in UTF growth compared to listed bank deposits growth of 1.9% points during the same period, which can be attributed to the relatively higher returns in the collective investment schemes, especially the MMFs, which have continued to gain traction among investors. We therefore predict an expansion in business funding coming from capital markets from the current 1.0%, in the short-term to medium term. According to World Bank data, in well-functioning economies, businesses rely on bank funding for a mere 40.0%, with the larger percentage of 60.0% coming from the Capital markets. Closer home, the World Bank noted that businesses in Kenya relied on banks for 99.0% of their funding while less than 1.0% come from the capital markets.                         

Source: World Bank

Notably, Kenya’s Mutual Funds/UTFs to GDP ratio at the end of Q2’2023 came in at 4.6%, significantly lower compared to an average of 57.6% amongst select global markets an indication of a need to continue enhancing our capital markets. Additionally, Sub-Saharan African countries such as South Africa and Namibia have higher mutual funds to GDP ratios of 61.5% and 43.1%, respectively as at end of 2020, compared to Kenya. The chart below shows select countries’ mutual funds as a percentage of GDP:

*Data as of June 2023

Source: World Bank Data

Over the past 5 years, Unit Trust Funds (UTFs) AUM has exhibited positive performance, having grown at a 5-year CAGR of 27.0% to Kshs 176.0 bn in Q2’2023, from Kshs 53.3 bn recorded in Q2’2018. However, the industry is still dwarfed when compared to other deposit taking institutions such as bank deposits, with the entire banking sector deposits coming in at Kshs 5.2 tn as at June 2023 from Kshs 4.8 tn recorded in March 2023. Similarly, the pension  industry recorded an increase of 1.9%, to Kshs 1.6 tn as of December 2022 from Kshs 1.5 tn recorded in December 2021. Below is a graph showing the sizes of different saving channels and capital market products in Kenya;

*Data as of December 2022

Source: CMA, RBA, CBK, SASRA Annual Reports and REITs Financial Statements

Comparing other Capital Markets products like REITS, Kenya has made strides in the sector, however, there is still a lot of room for improvement. The REITs’ numbers remain low, with the only 4 registered REITS, out of which, only the ILAM Fahari I-REIT is openly trading on the NSE main investment market.  The table below show the authorized REITs in the country:

Cytonn Report: Authorized REITs in Kenya

No

Issuer

Name

Type of REIT

Listing Date

Market Segment

Status

1

ICEA Lion Asset Management (ILAM)

Fahari

I-REIT

October 2015

Main Investment Segment

Trading

2

Acorn Holdings Limited

Acorn Student Accommodation (ASA) – Acorn ASA

I-REIT

February 2021

Unquoted Securities Platform (USP)

Trading

3

Acorn Holdings Limited

Acorn Student Accommodation (ASA) – Acorn ASA

D-REIT

February 2021

Unquoted Securities Platform (USP)

Trading

4

Local Authorities Pension Trust (LAP Trust)

Imara

I-REIT

November 2022

Main Investment Segment – Restricted Sub segment

Restricted

The listed REITs capitalization as a percentage of total market cap in Kenya stands at 0.6%, as compared to 4.6% in USA, and 1.6% in South Africa as of September 2023. Notably, the REITS Capitalization in Kenya as a percentage of total market cap has increased to 0.6% from 0.5% recorded in FY’2022. The increase is due to a decline in the total market capitalization, with NASI registering a 25.2% YTD decline attributable to foreign investors leaving the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), leading to the NSE market registering a net outflow position of USD 282.1 bn as at 29th September 2023, which has adversely affected the NSE. Below is a graph showing comparison of Kenya’s REITs to Market Cap Ratio to that of US and South Africa:

Source: Online Research, Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE)

*Kenya’s REIT combines both i-REITs and D-REITs

Section V: Recommendations

In conclusion, as witnessed by the growing numbers of total registered Mobile Money Accounts there is need to leverage more on innovation and digitization in order to further propel the growth of unit trust products in Kenya. The use of technology as a distribution channel for unit trusts products opens up the funds to the retail segment, which is characterized by strong demand among retail clients for convenient and innovative products. In addition, we recommend the following actions to stimulate growth of UTFs in the Kenyan capital market;

  1. Lower the minimum investment amounts: Currently, the minimum investment for sector specific funds is Kshs 1.0 mn, while that for Development REITS is currently at Kshs 5.0 mn. According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, 87.7% of employees earn below Kshs 100,000.0 monthly.  As such, the high minimum initial and top up investments amounts for investing in sector specific funds deter potential investors. Furthermore, these high amounts disadvantage the majority of retail investors by restricting their options for investments,
  2. Open up Trusteeship to Corporate Trustees and Lower Capital Requirement for REIT Trusteeship: Currently, the capital requirement is pegged at Kshs 100.0 mn for REITS trustees in Kenya on top of the requirement that the trustee must be a bank. Lowering the capital to Kshs 10.0 mn would encourage more companies enter the market and provide more options to investors. Similarly, opening trusteeship to Corporate will increase competition leading to better services to investors and overall growth of the UTF industry,
  3. Allow for private market instruments to drive Competition: Private market instruments such as private equity, private placements, and private debt are not regulated by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) in Kenya. Private market instruments can provide alternative sources of capital for businesses, which can help to increase competition and innovation in the market. Additionally, private market instruments often offer higher returns than traditional investment options, which can attract more investors to the market thus fuelling growth in the industry
  4. Encourage innovation and diversification of UTFs’ investments: Majority of UTFs’ investments are either in fixed income or fixed deposits, highlighting high concentration risks. There is need to encourage fund managers to invest in different sectors of the economy as this will spur diversification of investments such as real estate and private offers. As at 30th June 2023, the total allocation to Fixed Deposits and Government securities stood at 44.4% and 42.8% respectively, accounting for 87.2% of the total AUM for unit trust, thus bringing about concentration risk,
  5. Update regulations: The current Collective Investments Schemes Regulations in Kenya were formulated in 2001 and have not been updated ever since, despite the dynamic nature of the capital markets worldwide. This has led to the regulations lagging behind. For instance, the regulations do not include provisions for private offers that have grown in importance over the years. The regulations also lack stipulated guidelines on special funds to cater for the sophisticated investors’ interest in regulated alternative investments products. While there are efforts to update the regulations, we note that they remain in progress and are yet to be completed,
  6. Allow for sector funds: Under the current capital markets regulations, UTFs are required to diversify. However, one has to seek special dispensation in the form of sector funds such as a financial services fund, a technology fund or a Real Estate Unit Trust Fund. Regulations allowing unit holders to invest in sector funds would go a long way in expanding the scope of unit holders interested in investing. For example, in Kenya, Real Estate continues to play an important role in the economy contributing 10.0% to the GDP as of March 2022 and remains a popular investment option due to the stable returns it delivers and low correlation with traditional investments. However, looking at the various types of Unit trust we have, investments in real estate are conspicuously missing,
  7. Incentives: Introduce incentives such as tax benefits or government subsidies for mutual fund investments, encouraging more people to consider them as part of their investment portfolio, similar to pensions and Education plans. This will of great importance in encouraging investors to invest in a long-time horizon,
  8. Eliminate conflicts of interest in the capital markets governance and allow non-financial institutions to also serve as Trustees: The capital markets regulations should foster a governance structure that is more responsive to both market participants and market growth. In particular, restricting Trustees of Unit Trust Schemes to Banks only limits options, especially given the direct competition between the banking industry and capital markets, and,
  9. Provide Support to Fund Managers: In our opinion, the regulator, CMA needs to include market stabilization tools as part of the regulations/Act that will help Fund Managers meet fund obligations especially during times of distress like when there are a lot of withdrawals from the funds. We commend and appreciate the regulator’s role in safeguarding investor interests. However, since Fund Managers also play a significant role in the capital markets, the regulator should also protect the reputation of different fund managers in the industry.

As Kenya's financial sector continues to evolve, Unit Trust Funds have emerged as a critical component, offering diversification and accessibility to a wide range of investors. We believe that the UTF market is still underdeveloped, but with a great opportunity and potential to gain in terms of number of investors and AUM. The growth of Unit Trust Funds (UTFs) in Kenya hinges significantly on the active role and strategic initiatives of the Capital Markets Authority (CMA). To foster the expansion of UTFs in the country, the CMA must prioritize several key aspects. Firstly, a streamlined and investor-friendly regulatory framework should be developed, ensuring transparency, trust, and investor protection, which will increase the confidence of investors. In sum, a proactive approach by the Capital Markets Authority, encompassing regulatory enhancements, education, partnerships, and innovation, is pivotal to catalyzing the growth of UTFs in Kenya's financial landscape.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.